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Anthropic's IPO: a hand places a small Anthropic logo on a downward-trending stock market graph, reflecting a lower valuation

Editorial illustration for Anthropic accepts lower valuation for pre-Thanksgiving IPO amid tech selloff

Anthropic Lowers IPO Valuation Amid Tech Selloff

• 4 min read

Anthropic is still aiming to go public before Thanksgiving, even as the broader tech market wobbles. Investors cited by the Financial Times say the Claude developer now wants to raise $80 to $100 billion at a valuation of $1.25 to $1.75 trillion. That's well above the company's current $965 billion mark, but it falls short of the $2 trillion figure some bullish backers floated earlier this year.

The timing is awkward. Rising borrowing costs and worries about how much AI companies are spending on infrastructure dragged the Nasdaq 100 down 6.4 percent on Thursday, before a partial recovery on Friday. Democrats winning the US midterms added to the pressure, since they've promised to slow data center construction as part of a broader policy push. OpenAI, Anthropic's biggest rival, has already felt the squeeze: it cut its funding target from $1.4 trillion to $1.25 trillion and managed to raise only about a third of the $30 billion it had originally hoped for.

Anthropic's revenue picture offers some cover for pushing ahead anyway. Annualized reported revenue has climbed to roughly $81 billion, up from about $65 billion at the end of July.

Anthropic is pressing ahead with its IPO despite the tech selloff, accepting a lower valuation. The Claude developer wants to go public before Thanksgiving and raise $80–100 billion at a $1.25–1.75 trillion valuation, according to investors cited by the Financial Times. That tops the current $965 billion but falls short of the $2 trillion the most optimistic investors had hoped for.

Why this matters

A $1.25–1.75 trillion valuation is still a staggering number for a company whose annualized revenue, even after nearly doubling since July, sits at $81 billion. Anthropic pushing to price before Thanksgiving despite a tech selloff tells us the company's backers would rather lock in a discount now than risk a worse one later. For founders raising in this market, that's the real signal: even the most favored AI names are getting marked down, and the "growth at any valuation" era is cooling fast.

For developers and researchers, the more interesting data point is the revenue trajectory itself, roughly $65 billion to $81 billion in a few months, which suggests enterprise Claude adoption is holding up even as investor sentiment sours. We'd watch whether the IPO actually closes at the lower end of that range or slips past Thanksgiving entirely. Either outcome will say more about where AI infrastructure spending and borrowing costs are headed than any earnings call Anthropic puts out afterward.

Common Questions Answered

What valuation range is Anthropic targeting for its pre-Thanksgiving IPO?

Anthropic is aiming for a valuation of $1.25 to $1.75 trillion while seeking to raise $80 to $100 billion in its IPO before Thanksgiving. This represents a significant increase from the company's current $965 billion valuation, though it falls short of the $2 trillion figure that more optimistic investors had previously hoped for earlier in the year.

Why is Anthropic's lower IPO valuation significant given its current revenue?

Anthropic's $1.25–1.75 trillion valuation target is striking considering the company's annualized revenue sits at only $81 billion, even after nearly doubling since July. This massive valuation-to-revenue gap highlights how much investor expectations are built on future AI potential rather than current earnings, and signals that even the most favored AI companies are experiencing valuation markdowns in the current market.

What does Anthropic's decision to proceed with an IPO during a tech selloff reveal about market conditions?

Anthropic's push to go public before Thanksgiving despite the tech market wobble suggests that company backers would rather lock in a discounted valuation now than risk an even worse one later. This strategy indicates that rising borrowing costs and concerns about AI spending are pressuring even the most successful AI developers to move quickly, signaling an end to the "growth at any valuation" era in the sector.

How much has Anthropic's valuation changed from earlier this year?

Anthropic's target valuation of $1.25–1.75 trillion represents a notable reduction from the $2 trillion figure that bullish backers floated earlier in 2024. Despite this markdown, the company's valuation has still grown substantially from its current $965 billion mark, demonstrating investor confidence in the Claude developer even amid broader market uncertainty.

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